midweek

rolltide · Apr 16, 2013

99-8-85 +10.39 (stake 252.98)

8:15 copa lib

Ind Santa Fe / Real Garcilaso o2.25 2.5u to win 2.38u

- first match was wide open despite 1-1 final. ISF will go all out for 2nd seed while Garcilaso will go all out to stay ahead of Tolima and advance

(also took 1u on double Rapid/Salzburg based on friend's recommendation for Austrian cup but not for official. double was -110)

rolltide · Apr 17, 2013

West Ham vs United
- other than City match every Hammers home game against the top 8 has gone way over...

3-1 West Brom
2-3 Spurs
2-2 United (cup)
1-2 Everton
2-3 Lpool
3-1 Chelsea
1-3 Arsenal

United still need a few points to officially win the league but are really just playing for fun at this point. RVP is 2 behind Suarez for the Golden Boot so that will be a focus down the stretch. They just played Sunday but don't play again until Monday and then the following Sunday so pretty light match load.

Hammers have scored and conceded in 6 of 7 against the top 8 with just this match left and clubs played to 2-2 here in January. I'd expect most of United's remaining matches to be played in pretty open style starting tonight.

WH/United over 2.5 1.17u to win 1u

brokerstip · Apr 17, 2013

nice hit with the over; anything in copa tonight?

rolltide · Apr 17, 2013

Barca/Nacional, Toluca/Boca have nothing to play for except seeding... basically it's all "B" teams.

want to see atl-mg's lineup...they've already secured 1st overall seed so normally wouldn't expect them to care except if SP wins then they'll actually get SP in the knockout stage which is just about the toughest matchup you can draw. so waiting on teams there

arsenal should win but if they know SP is winning then their match becomes unimportant.

rolltide · Apr 18, 2013

6:45pm Copa Lib
- meaningless match b/w Cristal and Palmeiras but I'm going to back the Peruvians very small. Really an identical situation to Toluca/Boca last night where home team plays free and away team theoretically want to improve their seeding but we saw how little importance that becomes in the end. Cristal also just once in 15 home Cup matches have failed to see 2 goals and both teams scoring a ton lately in local tournaments so a slightly larger bet on over

Sporting Cristal .5u to win 1u
SC/Palmeiras over 2.25 1u to win 1u

rolltide · Apr 18, 2013

two plays in mex this weekend...will transfer them over to weekend thread with some writeup later

Santos -0.25 2.2u to win 2u
Atlas -0.25 2u to win 2u